Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

McCain Edging Both Democrats in U.S. Race

April 02, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain holds a slight advantage over his Democratic rivals in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the Arizona senator in this year’s presidential election, while 44 per cent would back Illinois senator Barack Obama.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain holds a slight advantage over his Democratic rivals in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the Arizona senator in this year’s presidential election, while 44 per cent would back Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In a separate contest, McCain also holds a two-point lead over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Yesterday, Obama criticized McCain, saying, "My argument with John McCain is not his biography, it’s his policies. (...) (He) has been saying I don’t understand national security, but he’s the one who wants to keep tens of thousands of U.S. troops in Iraq for as long as a hundred years, even though this war has not made us safer. It may make sense to George Bush and John McCain, but it is the wrong thing to do, it is not right for our national security, it’s not right for our economy, and it’s not right for American leadership around the world."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Obama

 

Mar. 31

Mar. 11

Feb. 24

John McCain (R)

46%

44%

48%

Barack Obama (D)

44%

46%

47%

Other

1%

1%

1%

Neither

4%

5%

2%

Not sure

4%

4%

2%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

Mar. 31

Mar. 11

Feb. 24

John McCain (R)

47%

45%

50%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

45%

47%

46%

Other

1%

1%

1%

Neither

4%

4%

2%

Not sure

3%

3%

1%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 4,409 registered American voters, conducted from Mar. 27 to Mar. 31, 2008. Margin of error is 2 per cent.