Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

McCain and Rodham Clinton Even for 2008

January 28, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican John McCain and Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton are tied in a prospective 2008 United States presidential contest, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs released by Time. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the Arizona senator, and 47 per cent would support the New York senator.

McCain holds a seven-point edge in match-ups against former North Carolina senator John Edwards, and Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In 2000, McCain won seven Republican presidential primaries in the U.S., but retired from the race after eventual nominee George W. Bush became the frontrunner.

Yesterday, McCain voiced support for Bush's plan to send more troops to Iraq, declaring, "I cannot guarantee success but I can guarantee the consequences of failure. This is our last chance in many respects."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the election for president were held today and the candidates were (the following) the Democrat, and John McCain, the Republican, and you had to choose, for which of these candidates would you vote?

John McCain (R) 47% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
John McCain (R) 49% - 42% John Edwards (D)
John McCain (R) 49% - 42% Barack Obama (D)

Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,064 American adults, conducted on Jan. 22 and Jan. 23, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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