Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Many Voters In Scotland Pick Labour

February 15, 2005

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(Angus Reid Consultants - CPOD Global Scan) - The Labour party is the top political organization in Scotland, according to a poll by YouGov. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for Labour in Britain's next parliamentary election.

The regional Scottish National Party and the Liberal Democrats are tied for second with 20 per cent, followed by the Conservative party with 19 per cent.

Britain must renew the House of Commons by June 2006. There is growing speculation that an election will take place in May 2005. Last October, prime minister Tony Blair announced that he intends to lead the Labour party into the next parliamentary ballot, and retire at the end of what would be his third term in office.

In the next general election, the number of Scottish representatives in the House of Commons will be reduced from 72 to 59. A total of 646 parliamentarians will be elected.

Current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown—who was born in Scotland—has been mentioned as a possible replacement for Blair. 64 per cent of respondents would rather have Brown as Britain's head of government.

Polling Data

If there was a general election for the House of Commons tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Labour

33%

Scottish National Party

20%

Liberal Democrats

20%

Conservative

19%

Other

8%

Who would you rather have as prime minister—Tony Blair or Gordon Brown?

Gordon Brown

64%

Tony Blair

27%

Don't know

19%

Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews to 808 Scottish adults, conducted from Feb. 10 to Feb. 12, 2005. No margin of error was provided.

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