Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Lima Mayor Drops, Still Leads in Peru

August 20, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Luis Castañeda Lossio is still the frontrunner in the early stages of Peru’s presidential race but he has lost support, according to a poll by CPI. 18.6 per cent of respondents would vote for the current Lima mayor in the 2011 ballot, down 8.3 points since March.

Former left-wing presidential candidate Ollanta Humala is second with 16.9 per cent, followed by Keiko Sofía Fujimori—the daughter of former president Alberto Fujimori—with 15.8 per cent, former conservative presidential candidate Lourdes Flores Nano with 13.3 per cent, and former president Alejandro Toledo with 8.7 per cent. Support is lower with current prime minister Jorge del Castillo, and Lambayeque Region president Yehude Simón.

In June 2006, Alan García—a member of the conservative American Revolutionary People’s Alliance (APRA)—won Peru’s presidential election in a run-off against nationalist Humala of the Union for Peru (UP). In July, García officially took over as president. He had previously served as Peru’s head of state from 1985 to 1990, when he oversaw a major economic crisis.

On Aug. 14, former Lima mayor Alberto Andrade criticized Castañeda for the city’s apparent traffic chaos, saying that he failed to properly supervise the construction of new roads, and adding, "Things are done quickly and with no planning; this is why people in Lima are suffering and wasting time".

Polling Data

Which of these politicians would you support as a presidential candidate in 2011?

 

Aug. 2008

Mar. 2006

Luis Castañeda Lossio

18.6%

26.9%

Ollanta Humala

16.9%

13.7%

Keiko Sofía Fujimori

15.8%

13.8%

Lourdes Flores Nano

13.3%

12.0%

Alejandro Toledo

8.7%

6.0%

Jorge del Castillo

2.5%

2.1%

Yehude Simón

1.5%

n.a.

Alex Kouri

n.a.

3.0%

Alberto Andrade

n.a.

2.3%

Other leaders

2.1%

7.8%

None of these

3.1%

4.3%

Not sure / No opinion

17.5%

8.1%

Source: CPI
Methodology: Interviews with 1,500 Peruvian adults, conducted from Aug. 2 to Aug. 6, 2008. Margin of error is 2.9 per cent.

 

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