Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Liberal Comeback, Canadian Election Tight

June 23, 2004

(CPOD) Jun. 23, 2004 - The ruling Liberal party has regained the lead a week before the federal election in Canada, according to a poll by Ipsos-Reid released by CTV and the Globe and Mail. 34 per cent of respondents would vote for the Liberals, while 28 per cent would support the opposition Conservatives.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 16 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with 13 per cent and the Green party with six per cent.

Canadian voters will renew the House of Commons on Jun. 28. The Liberal party achieved three straight majority governments under Jean Chrétien in 1993, 1997 and 2000. Current prime minister Paul Martin leads the ruling political organization into a federal election for the first time.

Support for the Liberals increased by five per cent since a poll conducted earlier this month, while backing for the Tories fell by four per cent.

This past weekend, the campaign was dominated by a controversy over child pornography after an e-mail news release by the Conservatives—which was then re-worded—seemed to suggest that Martin supported child pornography. Tory leader Stephen Harper said Martin's record on the issue speaks of "failure to develop effective legislation that combats child pornography, and failure to pass even his own bills on the matter."

Martin said Harper's comments "were clearly out of line. It's unacceptable that he doesn't understand how harmful they are."

Polling Data

What party would you vote for in the upcoming federal election?

 

Jun. 20

Jun. 17

Liberal

34%

29%

Conservative

28%

32%

New Democratic Party

16%

16%

Bloc Québécois

13%

12%

Green

6%

7%

Source: Ipsos-Reid / CTV / The Globe and Mail
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,000 Canadian adults, conducted from Jun. 18 to Jun. 20, 2004. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

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