Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Labour Ties National in New Zealand Politics

October 29, 2006

- The opposition National party and the governing Labour party are even in New Zealand, according to a poll by Roy Morgan International. 40 per cent of respondents would support National, while 40 per cent would vote for Labour.

The Greens are in third place with 8.5 per cent, followed by New Zealand First with five per cent, ACT with two per cent, the Maori Party with 1.5 per cent, and United Future also with 1.5 per cent.

Labour leader Helen Clark has acted as New Zealand's prime minister since December 1999. Don Brash became the leader of the National party in October 2003. Support for National fell by 1.5 points since early October, while backing for Labour increased by four points.

In the September 2005 ballot, Labour elected 50 lawmakers to the 121-seat House of Representatives, and assembled a coalition government with the Progressives. United Future and New Zealand First agreed to support the administration in confidence and supply votes for three years. National finished second, with 48 legislators.

Yesterday at the Labour party conference, Clark discussed the issue of climate change, saying, "I think it is time to be bold in this area. Why shouldn't New Zealand aim to be the first country which is truly sustainable? Not by sacrificing our living standards but by being smart and determined."

Polling Data

If an election were held today which party would receive your party vote?

Oct. 15

Oct. 1

Sept. 10

National

40%

41.5%

38%

Labour

40%

36%

41%

Greens

8.5%

8.5%

8.5%

New Zealand First

5%

7%

5.5%

ACT

2%

1.5%

1.5%

Maori Party

1.5%

2.5%

3%

United Future

1.5%

2.5%

2%

Progressive

--

--

0.5%

Source: Roy Morgan International
Methodology: Interviews with 802 New Zealand voters, conducted from Oct. 2 to Oct. 15, 2006. No margin of error was provided.

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