Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Labour Starts With Big Lead In Scotland

April 03, 2005

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The Labour party leads all political organizations in Scotland, according to a poll by Scottish Opinion published in the Daily Record. 52 per cent of respondents would vote for Labour in Britain's next parliamentary election.

The regional Scottish National Party (SNP) is in second place with 17 per cent, followed by the Conservative party with 16 per cent and the Liberal Democrats with 12 per cent.

Britain must renew the House of Commons by June 2006. There is growing speculation that an election will take place in May 2005. Last October, prime minister Tony Blair announced that he intends to lead the Labour party into the next parliamentary ballot, and retire at the end of what would be his third term in office.

On Mar. 31, SNP leader Alex Salmond revealed telephone messages featuring the voice of actor Sean Connery will be part of his strategy, saying, "Every other party in the election would give their eye teeth to have such a campaign weapon at the very start of the campaign." Connery has long been a supporter of Scottish nationalism.

In the next general election, the number of Scottish representatives in the House of Commons will be reduced from 72 to 59. A total of 646 parliamentarians will be elected.

Current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown—expected to run in Scotland's Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath constituency—has been mentioned as a possible replacement for Blair.

Polling Data

If there was a general election for the House of Commons tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

Labour

52%

Scottish National Party

17%

Conservative

16%

Liberal Democrats

12%

Source: Scottish Opinion / Daily Record
Methodology: Interviews to 1,045 Scottish adults, conducted from Mar. 23 to Mar. 29, 2005. No margin of error was provided.

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