Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Labour Holds Five-Point Lead in Britain

September 18, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Britain’s governing Labour party remains on top in the country’s political scene, according to a poll by Ipsos-MORI published in The Sun. 41 per cent of respondents would vote for Labour in the next election to the House of Commons, up three points since early August.

The opposition Conservative party is second with 36 per cent—also up three points—followed by the Liberal Democrats with 16 per cent. Seven per cent of respondents would vote for other parties.

In June, Gordon Brown officially became Labour leader and prime minister, replacing Tony Blair. Brown had worked as chancellor of the exchequer. Blair served as Britain’s prime minister since May 1997, winning majority mandates in the 1997, 2001 and 2005 elections to the House of Commons.

Since December 2005, David Cameron has been the leader of the Conservative party. In March 2006, the Liberal Democrats chose foreign affairs spokesman Menzies Campbell as their new leader.

On Sept. 14, Brown referred to a speech given by United States president George W. Bush the night before about the coalition effort in Iraq, of which Britain is an active participant. Brown said that future decisions on the size and strength of British forces in Iraq would "continue to depend on conditions on the ground", and added: "Like America, Britain will discharge our duties to the Iraqi people, to our allies and to the international community. (...) I repeat that we will meet our responsibilities and honour our obligations."

The next election to the House of Commons must be held on or before Jun. 3, 2010. Sitting prime ministers can dissolve Parliament and call an early ballot at their discretion.

Polling Data

How would you vote if there were a general election tomorrow? Which party are you most inclined to support?

 

Aug. 29

Aug. 9

Jul. 17

Labour

41%

38%

41%

Conservative

36%

33%

35%

Liberal Democrats

16%

15%

15%

Scottish National Party / Plaid Cymru

3%

2%

3%

Green Party

1%

3%

2%

UK Independence Party

1%

2%

1%

Other

2%

7%

3%

Source: Ipsos-MORI / The Sun
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,023 certain British voters, conducted from Aug. 23 to Aug. 29, 2007. No margin of error was provided.

 

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