Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Labour First, SNP Third In Scotland

May 04, 2005

Credit:Flag courtesy of ITA’s Flags of All Countries used with permission.

(Angus Reid Global Scan) - The Labour party looks set to capture a majority of Scotland's House of Commons seats this week, according to a poll by YouGov. 35 per cent of respondents would vote for Labour in the parliamentary election.

The Liberal Democrats are in second place with 22 per cent, followed by the regional Scottish National Party (SNP) with 20 per cent, and the Conservative party with 19 per cent. Four per cent of respondents would vote for other parties.

The election is scheduled for May 5. The number of Scottish representatives in the House of Commons will be reduced from 72 to 59. A total of 646 parliamentarians will be elected.

On May 2, SNP leader Alex Salmond said his party was "the main challenger to Labour in Scotland," adding, "We do not expect lose any seats."

Current chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown—who will run in Scotland's Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath constituency—has been mentioned as a possible replacement for current prime minister Tony Blair. 55 per cent of respondents would rather have Brown as Britain's head of government.

Polling Data

If there was a general election for the House of Commons tomorrow, which party would you vote for?

 

Apr. 2005

Feb. 2005

Labour

35%

33%

Liberal Democrats

22%

20%

Scottish National Party

20%

20%

Conservative

19%

19%

Other

4%

8%

Who would you rather have as prime minister—Tony Blair or Gordon Brown?

 

Apr. 2005

Feb. 2005

Gordon Brown

55%

64%

Tony Blair

21%

27%

Don't know

23%

19%

Source: YouGov
Methodology: Online interviews to 1,019 Scottish adults, conducted from Apr. 26 to Apr. 29, 2005. No margin of error was provided.

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