May 29, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The "Yes" side is holding on to the lead as Irish voters head to a nationwide referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, according to a poll by Red C published in the Sunday Business Post. 41 per cent of respondents would vote to ratify the new common European treaty in the ballot, while 33 per cent would reject it. One-in-four respondents are undecided.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The "Yes" side is holding on to the lead as Irish voters head to a nationwide referendum on the Lisbon Treaty, according to a poll by Red C published in the Sunday Business Post. 41 per cent of respondents would vote to ratify the new common European treaty in the ballot, while 33 per cent would reject it. One-in-four respondents are undecided.

EU heads of state officially signed the European Constitution on Oct. 29, 2004. The project for a continental body of law was practically abandoned in 2005, after voters in France and the Netherlands rejected the proposed document in two plebiscites.

In October 2007, leaders of the 27 EU member nations reached an agreement on the Lisbon Treaty and Charter of Fundamental Rights. The Lisbon Treaty provisions call for the creation of new posts, such as a foreign policy chief, and a High Representative who will answer to EU governments and serve as vice-president of the European Commission. The Charter will become legally binding in all EU member states except Britain, which negotiated an exemption.

The EU leaders would also choose a president of the European Council for a two and a half year renewable term. This will effectively eliminate the current six-month rotating presidency among member nations. The Lisbon Treaty also provides for the creation of a mutual defence clause, in case one of the member states is attacked.

If all countries ratify the treaty—whether through a referendum or a parliamentary vote—it will become effective in January 2009. Ireland, due to its internal regulations, is the only country that must hold a nationwide vote on the Lisbon Treaty, while other governments can decide whether they want to do the same. Irish voters will take part on the referendum on Jun. 12.

On May 27, Irish Labour party leader Eamon Gilmore called for a ‘Yes’ vote, saying, "The Lisbon Treaty is a Citizen’s treaty. It will make the European Union more democratic and more effective. It will give Europe’s citizens a stronger voice in European affairs. That is good for all of us, North and South."

Polling Data

How would you vote in the referendum on the Lisbon Treaty?

 

	May 21	May 7	Apr. 23
Yes	41%	38%	35%
No	33%	28%	31%
Not sure	26%	34%	34%

Source: Red C / Sunday Business Post
Methodology: Interviews with 1,005 Irish adults, conducted from May 19 to May 21, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.