Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Illinois Primary: McCain and Obama Dominate

February 05, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Prairie State place John McCain as the clear favourite in today’s United States presidential primary.

In the three polls of Republican Party voters, Arizona senator John McCain garners the backing of at least 43 per cent of respondents, while former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is second with a high of 34 per cent. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee cannot reach the 20 per cent mark, and Texas congressman Ron Paul is in single digits.

Among Democratic Party voters, Illinois senator Barack Obama is the obvious frontrunner, with the support of more than half of respondents to all three surveys. New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is behind, with a high of 40 per cent.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Illinois Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Illinois

 

Huckabee

McCain

Paul

Romney

(3) Survey USA

17%

46%

8%

25%

(2) American Research Group

3%

48%

3%

34%

(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN

15%

43%

4%

20%

(3) Survey USA (441 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 4.8 MofE)
(2) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-31, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN (500 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30-Jan. 31, 2008, 4.4 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Illinois

 

Clinton

Obama

(3) Survey USA

30%

66%

(2) American Research Group

40%

51%

(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN

24%

55%

(3) Survey USA (1,010 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2-3, 2008, 3.0 MofE)
(2) American Research Group (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 1-2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) Chicago Tribune / WGN (500 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 29-Jan. 31, 2008, 4.4 MofE)

 

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