Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary, Obama Top Democratic Choices for 2008

November 17, 2006

- Support for Hillary Rodham Clinton as a Democratic Party presidential candidate in the United States fell this month, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 31 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a primary election, down five points since June.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second on the list with 19 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 10 per cent, former vice-president Al Gore with nine per cent, and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with seven per cent.

Support is lower for Delaware senator Joseph Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Indiana senator Evan Bayh, Wisconsin senator Russ Feingold—who has announced he will not seek the presidential nomination—former South Dakota senator Tom Daschle, Connecticut senator Chris Dodd and Iowa governor Tom Vilsack.

Rodham Clinton—a former first lady—has served in the U.S. Senate since 2001. On Nov. 7, she earned a new six-year term in the upper house, defeating former Yonkers mayor John Spencer with 67 per cent of all cast ballots.

On Nov. 13, Vilsack discussed his White House bid, saying, "I don't have the advantage that others may have to roll over resources they've collected from Senate or other campaigns. It's not a problem. You raise what you raise."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Polling Data

Support for potential 2008 Democratic presidential nominees, among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents who are registered to vote.

Nov. 2006

Jun. 2006

Feb. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton

31%

36%

39%

Barack Obama

19%

--

--

John Edwards

10%

12%

12%

Al Gore

9%

16%

13%

John Kerry

7%

11%

15%

Joe Biden

4%

4%

5%

Wesley Clark

3%

4%

--

Bill Richardson

2%

--

--

Evan Bayh

2%

--

--

Russ Feingold

1%

3%

1%

Tom Daschle

1%

--

--

Chris Dodd

1%

--

--

Tom Vilsack

1%

--

--

Other

2%

3%

3%

None

1%

2%

3%

No opinion

6%

5%

4%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 544 Democrats or Democratic leaners, conducted from Nov. 9 to Nov. 12, 2006. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

Archive Search

Over 19,600 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.


Advanced Search