Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary, McCain Virtually Even in U.S. Race

April 16, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican John McCain are almost tied in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in the 2008 presidential election, while 45 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton and Republican John McCain are almost tied in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in the 2008 presidential election, while 45 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

In a separate contest, Illinois senator Barack Obama leads McCain by three points.

On Apr. 12, Rodham Clinton discussed her views on the economy, saying, "Because of the Bush administration’s failed policies, we’re not just outsourcing jobs, we’re outsourcing our security. This has got to stop. We cannot remain a strong, free and prosperous nation if we continue to outsource industries essential to our national defence. (...) ‘Made in America’ can’t be just a slogan. It must be a strategy."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

Apr. 10

Mar. 11

Feb. 24

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

46%

47%

46%

John McCain (R)

45%

45%

50%

Other

1%

1%

1%

Neither

5%

4%

2%

Not sure

5%

3%

1%

McCain v. Obama

 

Apr. 10

Mar. 11

Feb. 24

Barack Obama (D)

46%

46%

47%

John McCain (R)

43%

44%

48%

Other

1%

1%

1%

Neither

5%

5%

2%

Not sure

5%

4%

2%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 4,379 registered American voters, conducted from Apr. 6 to Apr. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 2 per cent.