Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Hillary Leads McCain by Four Points in U.S.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the lead in a prospective United States presidential contest against Republican John McCain, according to a poll by Bloomberg and the Los Angeles Times. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator, while 42 per cent would back the Arizona senator.
Support for Rodham Clinton in this match-up fell by two points since October, while backing for McCain increased by four points.
In other contests, Rodham Clinton holds double-digit leads over former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, and former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani. Illinois senator Barack Obama is almost tied with McCain, but leads Huckabee, Romney, and Giuliani by at least 10 points.
Yesterday, former U.S. president Bill Clinton discussed the current state of affairs, saying, "This is a lot harder for me than campaigning for myself ever was. When I was running, I didn’t give a rip what anybody said about me. It’s weird, you know, but if you love somebody, you’d think they’d be good—it’s harder."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
If the November 2008 general election for president were being held today and the choices were (...) the Democrat, and (...) the Republican, for whom would you vote?
(Leaners included)
McCain vs. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Oct. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
46% |
48% |
41% |
|
John McCain (R) |
42% |
38% |
45% |
Huckabee vs. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
51% |
|
Mike Huckabee (R) |
38% |
Romney vs. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Nov. 2007 |
Oct. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
50% |
47% |
49% |
|
Mitt Romney (R) |
39% |
39% |
34% |
Giuliani vs. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Nov. 2007 |
Oct. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
53% |
46% |
47% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
37% |
42% |
41% |
McCain vs. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Oct. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
|
John McCain (R) |
42% |
36% |
35% |
|
Barack Obama (D) |
41% |
44% |
47% |
Huckabee vs. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
47% |
|
Mike Huckabee (R) |
37% |
Romney vs. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Nov. 2007 |
Oct. 2007 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
46% |
45% |
42% |
|
Mitt Romney (R) |
35% |
33% |
32% |
Giuliani vs. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Nov. 2007 |
Oct. 2007 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
49% |
44% |
43% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
32% |
39% |
40% |
Source: Bloomberg / Los Angeles Times
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 650 registered American voters, conducted from Jan. 18 to Jan. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 4 per cent.