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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Hillary Leads 2008 Democratic Contenders in U.S.
Credit:The White House
Hillary Rodham Clinton
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many Democratic Party backers in the United States would support New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in a presidential primary, according to a poll by the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. 41 per cent of respondents would vote for Rodham Clinton, up one point since May.
Current Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry is second with 17 per cent, followed by 2004 vice-presidential candidate and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 14 per cent.
Support is lower for Delaware senator Joseph Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, Indiana senator Evan Bayh, Iowa governor Tom Vilsack, and Virginia governor Mark Warner.
Rodham Clinton—a former first lady—was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000, defeating Republican Rick Lazio by 12 per cent. She ruled out a presidential bid in 2004.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
Oct. 2005 | May 2005 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 41% | 40% |
John Kerry | 17% | 18% |
John Edwards | 14% | 16% |
Joe Biden | 5% | 7% |
Wesley Clark | 3% | 4% |
Evan Bayh | 2% | -- |
Tom Vilsack | 1% | -- |
Mark Warner | 1% | -- |
Other | n.a. | 3% |
Undecided | 16% | 12% |
Source: Marist College Institute for Public Opinion / WNBC
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 393 Democrats or Democratic leaning independents, conducted on Oct. 12 and Oct. 13, 2005. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
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