Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Hillary Holds Two-Point Edge in U.S. Race
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is slightly ahead of a Republican presidential hopeful in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in next year’s election, while 47 per cent would support former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani.
In a separate contest, former U.S. vice-president Al Gore—who has repeatedly stated he will not seek the Democratic Party’s nomination in 2008—holds a six-point advantage over Giuliani.
Yesterday, Giuliani met with members of the Family Research Council and said: "Isn’t it better that I tell you what I really believe than I change my positions to fit the prevailing winds? I believe trust is better than 100 per cent agreement. (...) People of faith should not be marginalized in our civic debates. Believers have every right to participate in our political process. I believe America is better for you expressing your views."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If (...) were the Democratic Party’s candidate and (...) were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? As of today, who do you lean more toward?
Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton
|
Oct. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
49% |
50% |
49% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
47% |
46% |
48% |
Giuliani v. Gore
|
Oct. 2007 |
|
|
Al Gore (D) |
52% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
46% |
Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 927 registered American voters, conducted from Oct. 12 to Oct. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
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