Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary Has Three-Point Edge on McCain in U.S.

March 27, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is leading Republican John McCain in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in this year’s presidential election, while 43 per cent would back the Arizona senator.

Support for Rodham Clinton increased by two points since February, while backing for McCain fell by four points. In a separate match-up, McCain is virtually tied with Illinois senator Barack Obama.

Yesterday, McCain discussed his views on climate change, saying, "There is such a thing as international good citizenship. We need a successor to the Kyoto Treaty, a cap-and-trade system that delivers the necessary environmental impact in an economically responsible manner."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, if the 2008 general election were held today for whom would you vote if the candidates were (...)?

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

 

Mar. 2008

Feb. 2008

Jan. 2008

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

46%

44%

44%

John McCain (R)

43%

47%

45%

Other / Unsure

11%

9%

10%

McCain v. Obama

 

Mar. 2008

Feb. 2008

Jan. 2008

John McCain (R)

44%

43%

43%

Barack Obama (D)

43%

47%

44%

Other / Unsure

13%

10%

13%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Mar. 18 and Mar. 19, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

 

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