Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Hillary Could Defeat McCain, Giuliani in 2008

January 23, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton leads two prospective Republican presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in 2008, while 45 per cent would support Arizona senator John McCain.

In a contest pitting Rodham Clinton against former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, the Democrat holds a two-point advantage. Illinois senator Barack Obama leads McCain by two points, but trails Giuliani by four points.

Yesterday, Obama discussed the announced candidacy of the former first lady, saying, "I consider Hillary Clinton a friend. I don't see her as a competitor, potentially, but rather an ally in the process of moving this country forward. I think there's going to be a terrific debate."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?

John McCain (R) 45% - 50% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 47% - 49% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)
Rudy Giuliani (R) 49% - 45% Barack Obama (D)
John McCain (R) 45% - 47% Barack Obama (D)

Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 American adults, conducted from Jan. 16 to Jan. 19, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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