June 26, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The governing Conservative party remains ahead in Canada’s political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies released by the Toronto Star. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories in the next federal election, while 30 per cent would support the opposition Liberal party.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - The governing Conservative party remains ahead in Canada’s political scene, according to a poll by Angus Reid Strategies released by the Toronto Star. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the Tories in the next federal election, while 30 per cent would support the opposition Liberal party.

The New Democratic Party (NDP) is third with 19 per cent, followed by the Bloc Québécois with nine per cent, and the Green party with seven per cent. Support for the Grits increased by three points since May, while backing for the Tories fell by one point.

Canadians renewed the House of Commons in January 2006. The Conservative party—led by Stephen Harper—received 36.3 per cent of the vote, and secured 124 seats in the 308-member lower house. Harper leads a minority administration after more than 12 years of government by the Liberal party. In December 2006, former environment minister Stéphane Dion became the new leader of the Liberals.

Yesterday, Harper announced a cabinet shuffle. David Emerson was reaffirmed as foreign minister, Christian Paradis took over as public works minister, and Michael Fortier became the new international trade minister. Emerson had replaced Maxime Bernier on an interim basis. Bernier had announced his resignation in May after admitting to have left classified government documents at a private residence.

Harper declared: "With these small but important changes to the ministry, we will continue to build on our record of achievement over the past two and a half years. We will also continue to deliver the strong leadership Canadians expect and deserve."

Polling Data

If a federal election were held tomorrow, which one of the following parties would you be most likely to support in your constituency?

	Jun. 2008	May 2008	Apr. 2008	Mar. 28
Conservative	33%	34%	33%	36%
Liberal	30%	27%	30%	26%
New Democratic Party	19%	18%	20%	18%
Bloc Québécois	9%	11%	8%	9%
Green	7%	8%	8%	9%
Other	1%	2%	1%	1%

Source: Angus Reid Strategies
Methodology: Online interviews with 1,007 Canadian adults, conducted on Jun. 23 and Jun. 24, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

Approval Ratings: Harper 32%, Dion 12%
Preferred Prime Minister: Harper 37%, Dion 10%, Neither 39%
Momentum Score: Harper -19, Dion -26
52% do not want the opposition to force an early election
Harper defeats Dion on eight qualities and characteristics

 

Complete Poll (PDF)

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