Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Stumbles Against Democrats in U.S. Race

January 30, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama holds the upper hand over Republican Rudy Giuliani in a prospective 2008 United States presidential contest, according to a poll by Hart/McInturff released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 54 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator, while 34 per cent would back the former New York City mayor.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Barack Obama holds the upper hand over Republican Rudy Giuliani in a prospective 2008 United States presidential contest, according to a poll by Hart/McInturff released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 54 per cent of respondents would vote for the Illinois senator, while 34 per cent would back the former New York City mayor.

Support for Obama in this match-up increased by 10 points since November, while backing for Giuliani fell by eight points. In another match-up, New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a 15-point lead over Giuliani.

Yesterday in Florida, Giuliani discussed his campaign, saying, "We’ve stayed positive. We’ve talked about the things that we can do: the National Catastrophic Fund, help reduce property insurance rates, the idea of a major tax reduction, single-page tax form, preserving the Everglades, talking about the positive things we can do for Florida and for the United States."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

If the next election for president were held today, and (...) were the Republican candidate and (...) were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote?

Giuliani v. Obama

 

Jan. 2008

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Barack Obama (D)

54%

49%

44%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

34%

40%

42%

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

 

Jan. 2008

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

52%

46%

46%

Rudy Giuliani (R)

37%

43%

45%

Source: Hart/McInturff / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,008 American adults, conducted from Jan. 20 to Jan. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.