Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Still Ahead of Obama and Edwards

February 05, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani is leading two prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in 2008, while 40 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In a contest pitting Giuliani against former North Carolina senator John Edwards, the Republican holds a two-point advantage. In December, Giuliani held an 11-point edge over Obama, and an eight-point lead over Edwards.

On Feb. 2, all the Democratic presidential hopefuls called for an end to the Iraq war before an auditorium full of activists and members of the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Obama challenged his fellow contenders to propose a concrete plan to end the war, declaring, "It was enough to run against George Bush during this past congressional election; it will not be enough now. The American people are expecting more. They want to know what we are going to do."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Giuliani v. Obama

Jan. 30

Dec. 21

Rudy Giuliani (R)

46%

50%

Barack Obama (D)

40%

39%

Giuliani v. Edwards

Jan. 30

Dec. 21

Nov. 14

Rudy Giuliani (R)

47%

49%

50%

John Edwards (D)

45%

41%

41%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely American voters, conducted on Jan. 29 and Jan. 30, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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