- Republican Rudy Giuliani could defeat Democrat John Kerry in the next United States presidential election, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 51 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor, while 37 per cent would support the current Massachusetts senator.

In a contest pitting Kerry against Arizona senator John McCain, the Republican holds a 17-point advantage.

Kerry was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1984, after incumbent Paul Tsongas retired due to health reasons, and earned six-year terms in 1990, 1996 and 2002.

On Oct. 15, Kerry discussed his plans for 2008, declaring, "In America, Americans give people a second chance. And if you learn something and prove you've learned something, maybe even more so. Now, I don't know what I'm going to do yet. We'll make that decision down the road."

On Dec. 8, Kerry discussed the findings of the Iraq Study Group, saying, "That's what I was pressing in '04, and that is what I am pressing today. (...) This administration has wasted two years with slogans while there were real policies on the table that they could have pursued in a bipartisan manner."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Rudy Giluniani (R) 51% - 37% John Kerry (D)
John McCain (R) 53% - 36% John Kerry (D)

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