Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Leads Obama, Hillary in U.S. Race

June 12, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani leads two prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 46 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in 2008, while 41 per cent would support Illinois senator Barack Obama.

In addition, Giuliani holds a three-point edge over New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. In other match-ups, Rodham Clinton is tied with McCain, and leads both former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson by 10 points. Obama holds a 13-point advantage over Thompson.

On Jun. 10, Giuliani discussed his views on immigration, saying, "You can end illegal immigration by having a tamper proof ID card, a single one, not the four or five methods of identification they are talking about, and a national database in which you record all entries and all exits."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Giuliani v. Obama

Jun. 2007

Mar. 2007

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

46%

43%

45%

Barack Obama (D)

41%

43%

39%

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

Mar. 2007

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

45%

45%

49%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

42%

44%

40%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

Mar. 2007

Feb. 2007

John McCain (R)

43%

47%

48%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

43%

43%

40%

Romney v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

46%

Mitt Romney (R)

36%

F. Thompson v. Rodham Clinton

Jun. 2007

Mar. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

48%

51%

Fred Thompson (R)

38%

34%

F. Thompson v. Obama

Jun. 2007

Barack Obama (D)

47%

Fred Thompson (R)

34%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Jun. 5 and Jun. 6, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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