Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Leads Hillary, Edwards Closer in U.S.

February 26, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani leads two prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Rasmussen Reports. 52 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in 2008, while 43 per cent would support New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In a contest pitting Giuliani against former North Carolina senator John Edwards, the Republican holds a two-point advantage. Since December, support for Giuliani has increased by five points in the head-to-head match-up against Rodham Clinton.

On Feb. 23, Rodham Clinton discussed her chances during a visit to California, saying, "I know there are some who might say, 'Yes, but can we ever elect a woman president?' My response to that is: we don't know until we try. That's not a hard sell in the home of Nancy Pelosi, Dianne Feinstein and Barbara Boxer."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

Feb. 22

Jan. 25

Dec. 19

Rudy Giuliani (R)

52%

49%

47%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

43%

43%

43%

Giuliani v. Edwards

Feb. 22

Jan. 30

Dec. 21

Rudy Giuliani (R)

46%

47%

49%

John Edwards (D)

44%

45%

41%

Source: Rasmussen Reports
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 800 likely American voters, conducted on Feb. 22 and Feb. 22, 2007. Margin of error is 4.5 per cent.

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