Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Giuliani is Top Republican Contender for 2008
(Angus Reid Global Scan) - Many GOP supporters in the United States would like Rudy Giuliani to run for president in 2008, according to a poll by Gallup released by CNN and USA Today. 30 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in a primary election.
Arizona senator John McCain is second with 22 per cent, followed by current U.S. state secretary Condoleezza Rice with 17 per cent, Virginia senator George Allen with seven per cent, Mississippi governor Haley Barbour with three per cent, Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney also with three per cent, and Tennessee senator Bill Frist with two per cent. Romney announced earlier this month that he will not seek a new term as governor.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. [Names rotated: Virginia senator George Allen; Mississippi governor Haley Barbour; Tennessee senator Bill Frist; former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani; Arizona senator John McCain, state secretary Condoleezza Rice; Massachusetts governor, Mitt Romney]
Rudy Giuliani | 30% |
John McCain | 22% |
Condoleezza Rice | 17% |
George Allen | 7% |
Haley Barbour | 3% |
Mitt Romney | 3% |
Bill Frist | 2% |
Other | 3% |
None | 3 % |
No opinion | 10% |
Source: Gallup / CNN / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 435 Republicans and Republican leaders, conducted from Dec. 9 to Dec. 11, 2005. Margin of error is 5 per cent.
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