Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Giuliani Edges Two Democrats in 2008 Race

February 19, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Republican Rudy Giuliani holds the upper hand against two prospective Democratic presidential nominees in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 50 per cent of respondents would support the former New York City mayor in 2008, while 48 per cent would vote for New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton.

In a contest pitting Giuliani against Illinois senator Barack Obama, the Republican holds a nine-point advantage. In other match-ups, Arizona senator John McCain trails Rodham Clinton by two points, and is tied with Obama at 48 per cent.

On Feb. 16, Rodham Clinton discussed the situation in Iran, declaring, "It would be a mistake of historical proportion if the administration thought that the 2002 resolution authorizing force against Iraq was a blank check for the use of force against Iran without further congressional authorization. (...) If the administration believes that any, any use of force against Iran is necessary, the president must come to Congress to seek that authority."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November

Polling Data

Possible match-ups - 2008 U.S. presidential election

Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton

Feb. 2007

Jul. 2005

Rudy Giuliani (R)

50%

50%

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

48%

45%

Giuliani v. Obama

Feb. 2007

Rudy Giuliani (R)

52%

Barack Obama (D)

43%

McCain v. Rodham Clinton

Feb. 2007

Oct. 2005

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

50%

43%

John McCain (R)

47%

53%

McCain v. Obama

Feb. 2007

John McCain (R)

48%

Barack Obama (D)

48%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 936 registered American voters, conducted from Feb. 9 to Feb. 11, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

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