February 05, 2008

Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Peach State suggest there is no favourite before today’s United States presidential primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Voting intention surveys conducted in the Peach State suggest there is no favourite before today’s United States presidential primary.

In four of the five polls of Republican Party voters, Arizona senator John McCain is in first place, but with a tenuous advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. Former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee is definitely a factor in Georgia, with at least one-in-four respondents voicing support for him in the final four studies. Texas congressman Ron Paul is fourth, with a high of six per cent.

Among Democratic Party voters, the outcome appears much clearer. Illinois senator Barack Obama is ahead of New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in the seven published surveys, with support ranging from 47 per cent to 52 per cent.

In all, 21 states will hold Republican primaries or caucuses today, choosing 41 per cent of all delegates. The Democratic primaries or caucuses will be held in 22 states, American Samoa and "Democrats Abroad", choosing 52 per cent of all pledged delegates.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Georgia Primary

Republican Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Mike Huckabee, John McCain, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney.

Georgia

	Huckabee	McCain	Paul	Romney
(6) Insider Advantage	26%	32%	3%	31%
(5) Strategic Vision	26%	31%	5%	29%
(4) Rasmussen Reports	28%	31%	6%	29%
(3) Insider Advantage	28%	29%	2%	30%
(2) Mason-Dixon	18%	33%	4%	27%
(1) Insider Advantage	24%	35%	5%	24%

(6) Insider Advantage (465 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 3, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(5) Strategic Vision (600 likely Republican primary voters, Feb 1-3, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(4) Rasmussen Reports (783 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Insider Advantage (388 likely Republican primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1,, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage (362 likely Republican primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)

Democratic Party

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama

Georgia

	Clinton	Obama
(7) Zogby International	31%	48%
(6) Strategic Vision	27%	49%
(5) Rasmussen Reports	37%	52%
(4) Insider Advantage	36%	51%
(3) Zogby International	28%	48%
(2) Mason-Dixon	41%	47%
(1) Insider Advantage	36%	52%

(7) Zogby International (851 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 1-3, 2008, 3.4 MofE)
(6) Strategic Vision (600 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb 1-3, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(5) Rasmussen Reports (542 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(4) Insider Advantage (342 likely Democratic primary voters, Feb. 2, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(3) Zogby International (940 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.2, 2008, 3.3 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 31-Feb.1, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(1) Insider Advantage (301 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 30, 2008, 5.0 MofE)