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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Gallup/CNN/USA Today U.S. Poll: Kerry 49%, Bush 48%
(CPOD) Oct. 12, 2004 - The 2004 United States presidential race remains closely contested, according to a poll by Gallup released by CNN and USA Today. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic ticket of John Kerry and John Edwards, while 48 per cent would support Republican incumbents George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.
One per cent of respondents would vote for independent candidate Ralph Nader and running mate Peter Camejo, while two per cent offered no opinion. The election is scheduled for Nov. 2.
Support for the Republicans dropped by one per cent in a week, while backing for the Democrats remained stable. In late-September, the Bush/Cheney ticket held a 12 per cent lead over the Kerry/Edwards pairing.
Polling Data
Suppose that the presidential election were being held today, and it included John Kerry and John Edwards as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, and Ralph Nader and Peter Camejo (*) as independent candidates. Who would you vote for?
Oct. 9-10 | Oct. 1-3 | Sept. 24-26 | |
Kerry / Edwards (D) | 49% | 49% | 44% |
Bush / Cheney (R) | 48% | 49% | 52% |
Nader / Camejo (I) | 1% | 1% | 3% |
Other | -- | 1% | -- |
No opinion | 2% | -- | 1% |
(*) Beginning with Oct. 1-3 poll, Nader/Camejo support is based only on residents from states where Nader was on the presidential ballot at the time the poll was released. In states where Nader was not on the ballot at the time of release, Nader voters' choice for president if Nader is not on the ballot was substituted for their Nader vote.
Source: Gallup / CNN / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 743 likely American voters, conducted from Oct. 9 to Oct. 10, 2004. Margin of error is 4 per cent.
Other poll highlights: Presidential race tied among registered voters. Bush approval rating at 47 per cent. Economy and terrorism are the top issues for voters. Bush best for dealing with Iraq, terrorism and taxes; Kerry best for economy, health care, abortion, education, the environment, the federal budget deficit, Medicare, social security and stem-cell research. In character traits, more see Bush as strong, decisive leader, who shares American values, believable and more likely to keep his campaign promises; more perceive Kerry as caring, honest and trustworthy, intelligent and better at expressing himself more clearly. Edwards leads Cheney by six per cent in simulated vice-presidential election. 54 per cent say Iraq war not worth it.
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