Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

French Believe Sarkozy Will Affect Chirac

November 17, 2004

(CPOD) Nov. 17, 2004 - Many French adults believe the political aspirations of finance minister Nicolas Sarkozy will have a negative effect on current president Jacques Chirac, according to a poll by BVA published in L'Express. 53 per cent of respondents think Sarkozy will become a hindrance for Chirac, while 24 per cent regard him as an asset.

Sarkozy is seeking the presidency of the centre-right Union for a Popular Movement (UMP). Final results from the leadership vote will be announced on Nov. 28, but Sarkozy is heavily favoured to win the ballot.

In July, Chirac said that he would not allow Sarkozy to keep his post as finance minister and head the UMP, saying this would undermine current prime minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin. 66 per cent of respondents say Sarkozy is actively exploring a presidential run in 2007.

Chirac won the presidential election in 1995, and was re-elected in a run-off over Jean-Marie Le Pen in May 2002. The head of state's popularity increased in late 2002 and early 2003 due to his vocal opposition to armed conflict in Iraq without an explicit mandate from the United Nations (UN) Security Council.

The current president has not ruled out becoming a candidate for the third time in 2007.

Polling Data

In your view, what would the accession of Nicolas Sarkozy to the presidency of the UMP mean?

An asset for Jacques Chirac

24%

A hindrance for Jacques Chirac

53%

Unsure

23%

Why do you think Nicolas Sarkozy wanted to become the UMP's president?

His personal ambition to
run for president in 2007

66%

His will to contribute more
effectively to the success of
the party

22%

Unsure

12%

Source: BVA / L'Express
Methodology: Interviews to 988 French adults, conducted from Nov. 6 to Nov. 9, 2004. No margin of error was provided.

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