Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

FL Primary 2008 (R): Giuliani 28%, Tie for Second

December 20, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Rudy Giuliani is the most popular 2008 United States presidential hopeful for Republican Party backers in the Sunshine State, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 28 per cent of respondents in Florida would vote for the former New York City mayor in January’s primary.

Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee are tied for second with 15 per cent, followed by Arizona senator John McCain with 10 per cent, actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson with six per cent, Texas congressman Ron Paul with four per cent, and California congressman Duncan Hunter with one per cent.

In a survey by Strategic Vision, Giuliani is first with 25 per cent, followed by Huckabee with 21 per cent, McCain with 15 per cent, Romney with 13 per cent, and Thompson with 10 per cent. The remaining contenders are in single digits.

In 2004, the Republican Florida primary was cancelled, after incumbent George W. Bush was nominated by the state’s party.

The Republican presidential primary in Florida is scheduled for Jan. 29, 2008.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Florida Republican Primary

Contenders (in alphabetical order): Rudy Giuliani (RG), Mike Huckabee (MH), Duncan Hunter (DH), Alan Keyes (AK), John McCain (JM), Ron Paul (RP), Mitt Romney (MR), Tom Tancredo (TT), Fred Thompson (FT).

Note: Tancredo officially dropped out of the race on Dec. 20, 2007.

 

RG

FT

JM

MR

MH

RP

TT

DH

AK

(9) Quinnipiac University 28% 6% 10% 15% 15% 4% -- 1% n.a.
(8) Strategic Vision 25% 10% 15% 13% 21% 4% 2% 1% n.a.
(7) SurveyUSA 29% 8% 10% 20% 24% n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
(6) Rasmussen Reports 19% 9% 6% 23% 27% 4% n.a. n.a. n.a.
(5) SurveyUSA 32% 14% 11% 15% 18% n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
(4) Quinnipiac University 30% 10% 9% 12% 11% 4% 1% 1% --
(3) Rasmussen Reports 27% 16% 10% 19% 9% 5% 1% 1% --

(2) Mason-Dixon

36%

12%

10%

15%

8%

1%

--

1%

2%

(1) Strategic Vision

31%

13%

13%

12%

9%

4%

2%

1%

--

Methodology and Sources:

(9) Quinnipiac University (397 likely Republican primary voters, Dec. 12-18, 2007, 4.9 MofE)
(8) Strategic Vision (492 likely Republican primary voters, Dec. 14-16, 2007, 4.5 MofE)
(7) SurveyUSA (431 likely Republican primary voters, Dec. 15-16, 2007, 4.8 MofE)
(6) Rasmussen Reports (685 likely Republican primary voters, Dec. 13, 2007, 4.0 MofE)
(5) SurveyUSA (493 likely Republican primary voters, Dec. 2-3, 2007, 4.5 MofE)
(4) Quinnipiac University (440 registered Republican voters, Nov. 26-Dec. 3, 2007, 4.7 MofE)
(3) Rasmussen Reports (508 likely Republican primary voters, Nov. 18, 2007, 4.5 MofE)
(2) Mason-Dixon (315 likely Republican primary voters, Nov. 12-14, 2007, 6.0 MofE)
(1) Strategic Vision (600 likely Republican primary voters, Nov. 9-11, 2007, 4.0 MofE)

 

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