(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is leading the United States presidential race among Democratic Party supporters in the Sunshine State, according to a review of the last five publicly released voting intention surveys. 52.1 per cent of decided voters in Florida would vote for the New York senator in tomorrow’s primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 31.2 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 16.7 per cent.

While the three candidates will be listed on the ballot, the national Democratic Party chose to eliminate Florida’s delegates after the state broke party rules by choosing to hold its primary before Feb. 5.

In 2004, Massachusetts senator John Kerry won the Democratic Florida primary with 77 per cent of the vote.

The Democratic presidential primary in Florida is scheduled for Jan. 29.

This ARGM Poll of Polls takes into account the choices of decided voters. It has been used in the past to assess the outcome of elections in the United States and South Korea.

Polling Data

U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - Florida Democratic Primary

Contenders (in alphabetical order): John Edwards (JE), Barack Obama (BO), Hillary Rodham Clinton (HC).

Methodology and Sources:

(5) SurveyUSA (522 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 23-24, 2008, 4.4 MofE)
(4) Rasmussen Reports (508 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 23, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(3) Mason-Dixon (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 22-23, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(2) Strategic Vision (577 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 20-22, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
(1) St. Petersburg Times / Miami Herald / Bay News 9 (400 likely Democratic primary voters, Jan. 20-22, 2008, 5.4 MofE)

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