Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
- Global Warming
- Gordon Brown
- Hamas
- Immigration
- Iran
- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
- North Korea
- Oil and Gas
- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Democrats Lead, McCain Toughest Rival in U.S.
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton is the most popular presidential hopeful in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. At least 50 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in this year’s ballot.
Rodham Clinton holds a 13-point lead over former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani, an 18-point advantage over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, a 14-point lead over former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, and a two-point edge over Arizona senator John McCain.
In other contests, Illinois senator Barack Obama leads Giuliani by 16 points, Romney by 12 points, and Huckabee by 19 points, but is almost tied with McCain.
On Jan. 15, the reverend Al Sharpton—who launched an unsuccessful presidential bid in 2004—expressed dissatisfaction with Rodham Clinton and Obama, saying, "There’s no debate here over policy. There’s a debate over you said this about me, your guy said that about me. It sounds like a schoolyard fight rather than a presidential campaign."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
If (...) were the Democratic Party’s candidate and (...) were the Republican Party’s candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for? As of today, who do you lean more toward?
Giuliani v. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
Nov. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
55% |
51% |
51% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
42% |
45% |
45% |
Romney v. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
58% |
54% |
|
Mitt Romney (R) |
40% |
43% |
Huckabee v. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
56% |
54% |
|
Mike Huckabee (R) |
42% |
44% |
McCain v. Rodham Clinton
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
|
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) |
50% |
48% |
49% |
|
John McCain (R) |
48% |
50% |
47% |
Giuliani v. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
Sept. 2007 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
56% |
52% |
45% |
|
Rudy Giuliani (R) |
40% |
45% |
49% |
Romney v. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
59% |
54% |
|
Mitt Romney (R) |
37% |
41% |
Huckabee v. Obama
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
|
|
Barack Obama (D) |
58% |
55% |
|
Mike Huckabee (R) |
39% |
40% |
McCain v. Obama
|
|
Jan. 2008 |
Dec. 2007 |
Jun. 2007 |
|
Barack Obama (D) |
49% |
48% |
48% |
|
John McCain (R) |
48% |
48% |
44% |
Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 840 registered American voters, conducted from Jan. 9 to Jan. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 3.5 per cent.