Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats Hold Upper Hand in Ohio

September 09, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Two Democratic United States presidential hopefuls could defeat their Republican rivals in Ohio, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. At least 46 per cent of respondents in the Buckeye State would back New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton in the 2008 election.

Rodham Clinton leads former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani by seven points, Arizona senator John McCain by five points and actor and former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson by 12 points.

In other head-to-head match-ups, former North Carolina senator John Edwards holds a nine-point advantage over Giuliani, an eight-point lead over McCain, and an 18-point lead over Thompson. Democratic Illinois senator Barack Obama leads Giuliani by one point, trails McCain by one point, and leads Thompson by 12 points.

In 2004, Republican George W. Bush carried Ohio’s 20 electoral votes, with 51 per cent of the vote. The Buckeye State has supported the eventual president in every U.S. election since 1964.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next United States presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 election for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the Democrat) and (the Republican), for whom would you vote?

Rudy Giuliani (R) 40% - 47% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

John McCain (R) 41% - 46% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Fred Thompson (R) 37% - 49% Hillary Rodham Clinton (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 38% - 47% John Edwards (D)

John McCain (R) 38% - 46% John Edwards (D)

Fred Thompson (R) 32% - 50% John Edwards (D)

Rudy Giuliani (R) 41% - 42% Barack Obama (D)

John McCain (R) 42% - 41% Barack Obama (D)

Fred Thompson (R) 34% - 46% Barack Obama (D)

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews to 1,430 registered Ohio voters, conducted from Aug. 28 to Sept. 3, 2007. Margin of error is 3.2 per cent.

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