Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats Hold Eight-Point Edge in U.S.

July 15, 2006

- Support for the Democratic Party fell this month in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 42 per cent of respondents would vote for the Democratic candidate in their congressional district, down four points since June.

The Republican Party is second with 34 per cent, up one point in a month. American voters will renew the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate on Nov. 7.

In the November 2004 congressional ballot, the Republican Party elected 232 lawmakers to the United States House of Representatives, while the Democratic Party secured 202 seats. The Republicans also have a majority in the Senate, with 55 members in the 100-seat upper house.

On Jul. 10, Democratic Nevada senator Harry Reid—the Senate minority leader—criticized the GOP-dominated legislative branch, saying, "Has the administration or the Republican Congress taken steps to reduce the risks of global climate change? No. They're more than willing to debate the pet-issues of the far-right, like the definition of marriage."

Yesterday, Republican Tennessee senator Bill Frist—the Senate majority leader—said he expected an expansion to federal stem cell research to pass next week, adding, "The hope is to advance the hopes and dreams and realities of scientific research in a strong ethical and moral framework."

Polling Data

Thinking ahead to this November's elections, if the congressional election were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?

Jul. 2006

Jun. 2006

May 2006

Democrat

42%

46%

41%

Republican

34%

33%

38%

Other / Not sure

25%

20%

21%

Source: Opinion Dynamics / Fox News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 900 registered American voters, conducted on Jul. 11 and Jul. 12, 2006. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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