Issue Watch
Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
- Abortion
- Africa
- Angela Merkel
- Death Penalty
- Economy and Globalization
- Environment
- European Union
- George W. Bush
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- Gordon Brown
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- Iraq War
- Kevin Rudd
- Latin America
- New Zealand Election 2008
- Nicolas Sarkozy
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- Same-Sex Marriage
- Silvio Berlusconi
- Stem Cell Research
- Stephen Harper
- Terrorism
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Democrats
- U.S. Election 2008 - The Republicans
- U.S. Election 2008: The Primaries
- Vladimir Putin
- Yasuo Fukuda
Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Democrats 2008: Obama 51.9%, Hillary 48.1%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Barack Obama holds a slight advantage in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a review of four recent public opinion polls. 51.9 per cent of decided Democratic supporters would back the Illinois senator in a primary.
New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton is a close second with 49.1 per cent.
Yesterday, Rodham Clinton discussed the Democratic race, saying, "I’m very proud that we have the two of us in this contest seeking the Democratic nomination, hoping to become our next president. Obviously, I believe that, you know, my record and my plans for what we can do for our country are ones that, you know, really are rooted in my experience and my strengths, being able to bring about the positive differences that people talk to me about."
After the first 35 Democratic presidential caucuses and primaries have been held, Obama has secured the support of 1,319 pledged delegates and super-delegates, followed by Rodham Clinton with 1,250. Candidates require the backing of at least 2,025 delegates to earn the nomination.
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.
Polling Data
U.S. Presidential Election 2008 - National Support for Democrats
Contenders (in alphabetical order): Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama
National Support
|
Clinton |
Obama |
|
|
ARGM Poll of Polls |
48.1% |
51.9% |
|
(4) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News |
44% |
44% |
|
(3) Diageo/Hotline |
45% |
43% |
|
(2) Zogby International / Reuters |
38% |
52% |
|
(1) American Research Group |
45% |
47% |
(4) Opinion Dynamics / Fox News (391 likely Democratic voters, Feb. 19-20, 2008, 5.0 MofE)
(3) Financial Dynamics / Diageo/Hotline (361 likely Democratic voters, Feb. 14-17, 2008, 5.1 MofE)
(2) Zogby International / Reuters (494 likely Democratic voters, Feb. 13-16, 2008, 4.5 MofE)
(1) American Research Group (600 registered Democratic voters, Feb. 9-13, 2008, 4.0 MofE)
Today's Global Monitor Polls & Research
- New Jersey: Obama 50%, McCain 42%
- Florida: Obama 50%, McCain 47%
- Ohio: Obama 49%, McCain 44%
- Czech Still Want Vote on U.S. Missile Deal
- Swedish Opposition Keeps Comfortable Lead
- Belarusians Talk of Fear of Expression
- Two-in-Three Americans Dissatisfied with Bush
- Wisconsin: Obama 54%, McCain 44%
- Michigan: Obama 56%, McCain 40%
- Virginia: Obama 51%, McCain 43%
- Indiana: McCain 50%, Obama 43%
- Most in Corsica Oppose Independence
- Reform Party Leads All in Estonia
- PASOK, Governing ND Tied in Greece
- Pro-European GERB Remains First in Bulgaria
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