Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary Has 12-Point Lead

March 04, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is still the preferred presidential candidate for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by SRBI Public Affairs released by Time. 36 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 24 per cent, followed by former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 13 per cent, and former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 11 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, reverend Al Sharpton and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Mar. 2, Dodd discussed his candidacy in South Carolina, saying, "The person with the most money doesn't always win. The people of South Carolina don't need the national media to tell them who's already won."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Now I'm going to read a list of candidates who might be running for the Democratic Party presidential nomination in 2008. If the Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, listen carefully to the names and then tell me which candidate you would be most likely to vote for.
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

Feb. 2007

Jan. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

36%

40%

Barack Obama

24%

21%

Al Gore

13%

9%

John Edwards

11%

11%

Bill Richardson

3%

4%

Joe Biden

2%

2%

Al Sharpton

1%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

Dennis Kucinich

--

1%

John Kerry

n.a.

4%

Source: Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas (SRBI) Public Affairs / Time
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,144 registered American voters, conducted from Feb. 23 to Feb. 26, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

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