Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 51%, Obama 21%

October 21, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 51 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary, up five points in a month.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 15 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, former Alaska senator Mike Gravel, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Oct. 16, Gravel expressed dissatisfaction with the current frontrunner, saying, "I’m more of a legitimate candidate than Hillary Clinton will ever be. (Anyone who supported the Iraq war) is not fit to be president of the United States because it shows a moral deficiency."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.

 

Oct. 2007

Sept. 2007

Aug. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

51%

46%

44%

Barack Obama

21%

23%

24%

John Edwards

15%

16%

16%

Bill Richardson

4%

5%

5%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

3%

2%

Joe Biden

1%

2%

3%

Mike Gravel

1%

1%

--

Chris Dodd

1%

--

--

No opinion

7%

3%

6%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 485 registered Democrats, conducted from Oct. 12 to Oct. 14, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

 

Archive Search

Over 19,500 Polls
Search the Angus Reid Global Monitor Polls & Research archive.


Advanced Search