Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 49%, Obama 36%

January 19, 2008

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Almost half of Democratic Party supporters in the United States want Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee this year, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 49 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator for the party’s presidential nomination, up nine points since December.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 36 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich with one per cent.

Yesterday, Rodham Clinton criticized the Republican Party, saying, "I don’t think it’s a better idea to privatize Social Security. I don’t think it’s a better idea to try to eliminate the minimum wage. I don’t think it’s a better idea to undercut health benefits and to give drug companies the right to make billions of dollars by providing prescription drugs to Medicare recipients. I don’t think it’s a better idea to shut down the government, to drive us into debt."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in 2008.

 

Jan. 2008

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

49%

40%

44%

Barack Obama

36%

30%

25%

John Edwards

12%

14%

14%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

2%

2%

Mike Gravel

--

--

1%

Joe Biden

n.a.

4%

4%

Bill Richardson

n.a.

4%

4%

Chris Dodd

n.a.

2%

2%

No opinion

2%

4%

5%

Source: Opinion Research Corporation / CNN
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 467 registered Democrats, conducted from Jan. 9 to Jan. 10, 2008. Margin of error is 5 per cent.

 

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