Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 49%, Obama 26%

November 06, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party backers in the United States, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 49 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 26 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Nov. 3, Dodd touted his credentials as an experienced lawmaker, saying, "I’m not going spend a couple of years getting to know these people (in Washington). We trust each other, we disagree, we agree, we’ve argued, we’ve fought with each other on things. But we’ve also come to terms, and I think that’s the kind of leadership we need right now. We can’t afford a few more years devoted to getting to know each other."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)

 

Nov. 2007

Sept. 2007

Jul. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

49%

53%

39%

Barack Obama

26%

20%

28%

John Edwards

12%

13%

9%

Joe Biden

3%

2%

2%

Bill Richardson

2%

3%

2%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

1%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

--

Al Gore

n.a.

n.a.

14%

None of these

1%

4%

2%

Would not vote

1%

1%

2%

No opinion

2%

2%

2%

Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,131 American adults, conducted from Oct. 29 to Nov. 1, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

 

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