Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 47%, Obama 32%

January 27, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Hart/McInturff released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in the next primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Hart/McInturff released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in the next primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 32 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent, and Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich—who has since withdrawn from the race—with three per cent.

After the first four Democratic presidential caucuses and primaries have been held, Rodham Clinton has secured the support of 230 pledged delegates and super-delegates, followed by Obama with 152, and Edwards with 61.

On Jan. 25, Edwards reiterated he will not withdraw from the presidential race, saying, "I’m in this for the long haul, and the causes that I’ve engaged in—speaking for the people who don’t have a voice, speaking for the uninsured, for people who live in poverty, for our veterans, for the men and women serving in Iraq—those are the causes of my life. And they’re not going away."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote? (Leaners included)

 

Jan. 2008

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

47%

45%

47%

Barack Obama

32%

23%

25%

John Edwards

12%

13%

11%

Dennis Kucinich

3%

4%

2%

Joe Biden

n.a.

4%

3%

Bill Richardson

n.a.

2%

4%

Chris Dodd

n.a.

1%

--

Other

--

--

3%

None

1%

1%

1%

Unsure

5%

7%

4%

Source: Hart/McInturff / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,008 American adults, conducted from Jan. 20 to Jan. 22, 2008. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.