Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 47%, Obama 21%

November 01, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party supporters in the United States want Hillary Rodham Clinton to become their presidential nominee next year, according to a poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Oct. 30, Kucinich discussed George W. Bush, saying, "I seriously believe we have to start asking questions about his mental health. There’s something wrong. He does not seem to understand his words have real impact. You cannot be a president of the United States who’s wanton in his expression of violence. There’s a lot of people who need care. He might be one of them. If there isn’t something wrong with him, then there’s something wrong with us."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?

 

Oct. 2007

Aug. 2007

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

47%

36%

35%

Barack Obama

21%

21%

21%

John Edwards

12%

9%

9%

Bill Richardson

3%

3%

2%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

1%

1%

Joe Biden

1%

2%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

--

Other

1%

1%

1%

Al Gore

n.a.

15%

18%

Would not vote

2%

--

1%

Not sure

11%

10%

11%

Source: Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 742 likely Democratic voters, conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 29, 2007. Margin of error is 3.6 per cent.

 

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