Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 47%, Obama 18%

November 28, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by YouGov/Polimetrix released by The Economist. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by YouGov/Polimetrix released by The Economist. 47 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 18 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 16 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

Yesterday, Dodd discussed the possibility of a peace deal between Israel and the Palestinians, saying, "I’ve been down this road too many times in the past and watched our hopes get dashed here because expectations exceeded what the realities could produce. I don’t like the fact that they’re raising the expectations too high on this. I think that’s a dangerous thing to do. It went from being a summit to a conference and now I think it’s a gathering. I think it’s wise to downplay the significance."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, for which of the following candidates would you vote?

 

Nov. 20

Nov. 13

Nov. 6

Hillary Rodham Clinton

47%

45%

43%

Barack Obama

18%

23%

24%

John Edwards

16%

15%

15%

Joe Biden

4%

2%

2%

Bill Richardson

3%

5%

4%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

--

--

Chris Dodd

1%

--

1%

Mike Gravel

--

1%

--

Other

1%

1%

1%

Would not vote

1%

1%

1%

None of these

1%

1%

--

Not sure

8%

6%

7%

Source: YouGov/Polimetrix / The Economist
Methodology: Online interviews with 343 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted on Nov. 19 and Nov. 20, 2007. No margin of error was provided.