Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama at 23%

December 23, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the most popular contender for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Hart/McInturff released by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Dec. 21, Richardson discussed the election, saying, "This presidential race should be decided on who has the best plan to get out of Iraq because Iraq is at the center of whether America can come together again, whether we can have a health care plan, whether we can have clean energy and create jobs. Because of the huge expenditures we’ve made in Iraq we can’t focus on our domestic priorities."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2008. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote? (Leaners included)

 

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Sept. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

47%

44%

Barack Obama

23%

25%

23%

John Edwards

13%

11%

16%

Joe Biden

4%

3%

2%

Dennis Kucinich

4%

2%

3%

Bill Richardson

2%

4%

4%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

1%

Other

--

3%

1%

None

1%

1%

1%

Unsure

7%

4%

5%

Source: Hart/McInturff / The Wall Street Journal / NBC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,008 American adults, conducted from Dec. 14 to Dec. 17, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

 

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