Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama at 21%

December 07, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the most popular presidential contender for Democratic Party supporters in the United States, according to a poll by Bloomberg and the Los Angeles Times. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 21 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 11 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Dec. 5, Biden expressed dismay at the way the current U.S. president has dealt with Iran, saying, "Are you telling me a president that’s briefed every single morning, who’s fixated on Iran, is not told back in August that the tentative conclusion of 16 intelligence agencies in the U.S. government said they had abandoned their effort for a nuclear weapon in ‘03? I refuse to believe that. If that’s true, he has the most incompetent staff in modern American history, and he’s one of the most incompetent presidents in modern American history."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the Democratic primary or caucus for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?

 

Dec. 2007

Oct. 2007

Jun. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

48%

33%

Barack Obama

21%

17%

22%

John Edwards

11%

13%

8%

Joe Biden

3%

2%

5%

Bill Richardson

3%

2%

4%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

1%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

--

1%

Al Gore

n.a.

n.a.

15%

Someone else / Don’t know

15%

15%

10%

Source: Bloomberg / Los Angeles Times
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 529 Democratic primary voters, conducted from Nov. 30 to Dec. 3, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

 

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