Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama 32%

January 30, 2008
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 45 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 45 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 32 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent, and former Alaska senator Mike Gravel with one per cent.

After the first four Democratic presidential caucuses and primaries have been held, Rodham Clinton has secured the support of 230 pledged delegates and super-delegates, followed by Obama with 152, and Edwards with 61.

On Jan. 28, Gravel discussed the race in Florida, saying, "I don’t want to disabuse anybody, but there is no hope for change by anybody running for president today, including myself. (...) If you want to get control of your lives, if you want to get control of your government, you have to become lawmakers."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 4.

Polling Data

Next, I’m going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.

 

Jan. 24

Jan. 13

Jan. 6

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

45%

33%

Barack Obama

32%

33%

33%

John Edwards

13%

13%

20%

Mike Gravel

1%

1%

--

Dennis Kucinich

n.a.

1%

3%

Bill Richardson

n.a.

n.a.

1%

Other

1%

1%

1%

No opinion

8%

5%

8%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,205 Democrats or Democratic leaners, conducted from Jan. 10 to Jan. 13, 2008. Margin of error is 3 per cent.