Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama 27%

December 20, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 45 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator in a 2008 primary, up six points in a week.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton remains the frontrunner in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Gallup released by USA Today. 45 per cent of respondents would back the New York senator in a 2008 primary, up six points in a week.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 27 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 15 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson.

Yesterday, Rodham Clinton discussed her views on the war in Iraq, saying, "As I have said before, I cannot and will not support continuing to fund a flawed and failed strategy in Iraq. (...) Rather than continue with a flawed and failing policy in Iraq, it is time to change course. Therefore, I cannot support the addition of appropriations for Iraq to the supplemental appropriations bill."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Next, I’m going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else.

 

Dec. 16

Dec. 2

Nov. 14

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

39%

48%

Barack Obama

27%

24%

21%

John Edwards

15%

15%

12%

Joe Biden

3%

4%

2%

Dennis Kucinich

2%

4%

4%

Bill Richardson

2%

4%

2%

Chris Dodd

--

1%

1%

Mike Gravel

--

--

1%

Other

1%

1%

--

No opinion

4%

6%

9%

Source: Gallup / USA Today
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 513 Democrats or Democratic leaners, conducted from Dec. 14 to Dec. 16, 2007. Margin of error is 5 per cent.