Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama 23%

December 08, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton holds steady numbers in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by Ipsos-Public Affairs released by the Associated Press. 45 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a 2008 primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 23 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 12 per cent. Support is lower for New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Delaware senator Joe Biden, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

Yesterday, Edwards discussed the current state of the presidential race, declaring, "Clinton said Obama said he had not spent his whole life wanting to be president. But lo and behold, he wrote an essay when he was in kindergarten talking about how he wanted to be president. (...) When I was in kindergarten, I either wanted to be a cowboy or superman. I think some of this is silly and no one cares about it."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were (the following), for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners only)

 

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Oct. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

45%

40%

Barack Obama

23%

22%

26%

John Edwards

12%

12%

12%

Bill Richardson

4%

3%

4%

Joe Biden

2%

2%

2%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Other

1%

2%

1%

None

5%

6%

4%

Not sure

7%

7%

10%

Source: Ipsos-Public Affairs / Associated Press
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,009 American adults, conducted from Dec. 3 to Dec. 5, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

 

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