Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 45%, Obama 20%

October 18, 2007

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party backers in the United States are voicing support for Hillary Rodham Clinton, according to a poll by American Research Group. 45 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 presidential primary, up six points in a month.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 20 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Oct. 16, Edwards criticized Rodham Clinton, saying, "Have we decided who the nominee’s going to be? Have you decided? Instead of having ‘primary mode’ or ‘general-election mode,’ how about we have ‘telling-the-truth mode’?"

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

Democratic Presidential Preference

 

Oct. 2007

Sept. 2007

Aug. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

45%

39%

36%

Barack Obama

20%

21%

21%

John Edwards

13%

15%

16%

Joe Biden

5%

5%

4%

Bill Richardson

3%

5%

7%

Dennis Kucinich

1%

1%

1%

Chris Dodd

1%

1%

1%

Mike Gravel

--

1%

1%

Wesley Clark

n.a.

n.a.

1%

Undecided

12%

12%

12%

Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted from Oct. 9 to Oct. 12, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.

 

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