Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research

Democrats 2008: Hillary 41%, Obama 22%

December 15, 2007
Abstract: (Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the top spot in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by American Research Group. 41 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary, down five points since November.

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - Hillary Rodham Clinton is holding on to the top spot in the national race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in the United States, according to a poll by American Research Group. 41 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a 2008 primary, down five points since November.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 22 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 13 per cent. Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, New Mexico governor Bill Richardson, and Connecticut senator Chris Dodd.

On Dec. 12, Richardson discussed his views on global commerce, saying, "We must move beyond the debate over free trade versus protectionism. Instead, we have to roll up our sleeves and pursue better trade agreements that enhance rather than erode U.S. jobs, agreements that are socially just, environmentally responsible and politically sustainable."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Democratic nominee John Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential preference primary/caucus were being held today between (...), for whom would you vote?

 

Dec. 2007

Nov. 2007

Oct. 2007

Hillary Rodham Clinton

41%

46%

45%

Barack Obama

22%

21%

20%

John Edwards

13%

11%

13%

Joe Biden

5%

4%

5%

Dennis Kucinich

4%

1%

1%

Bill Richardson

3%

4%

3%

Chris Dodd

2%

1%

1%

Mike Gravel

--

--

--

Undecided

10%

12%

12%

Source: American Research Group
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 600 likely Democratic primary voters, conducted from Dec. 9 to Dec. 12, 2007. Margin of error is 4 per cent.