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Track global public opinion on current issues.
- 2008: Race for the White House
- 2008: The U.S. Electoral College
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Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Democrats 2008: Hillary 41%, Obama 17%
(Angus Reid Global Monitor) - More Democratic Party supporters in the United States believe Hillary Rodham Clinton should be their presidential candidate in 2008, according to a poll by TNS released by the Washington Post and ABC News. 41 per cent of respondents would support the New York senator in a primary, up two points since November.
Illinois senator Barack Obama is second with 17 per cent, followed by former North Carolina senator John Edwards with 11 per cent, former U.S. vice-president Al Gore with 10 per cent, and Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with eight per cent.
Support is lower for Delaware senator Joe Biden, retired general Wesley Clark, Ohio congressman Dennis Kucinich, and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson.
On Jan. 22, Richardson announced his intention of seeking the presidential nomination, declaring, "I am taking this step because we have to repair the damage that's been done to our country over the last six years. (...) Our reputation in the world is diminished, our economy has languished and civility and common decency in government has perished."
The New Mexico governor also discussed the coalition effort, saying, "We must get our troops out of Iraq without delay. (...) I know the Middle East well and it's clear that our presence in Iraq isn't helping any longer."
In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.
Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.
Polling Data
If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Rodham Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, John Kerry, Al Gore, Wesley Clark, Tom Vilsack, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote?
(Democrats and Democratic leaners)
Jan. 2007 | Nov. 2006 | |
Hillary Rodham Clinton | 41% | 39% |
Barack Obama | 17% | 17% |
John Edwards | 11% | 12% |
Al Gore | 10% | 10% |
John Kerry | 8% | 7% |
Joe Biden | 3% | 2% |
Wesley Clark | 1% | 1% |
Dennis Kucinich | 1% | n.a. |
Bill Richardson | 1% | 2% |
Tom Vilsack | * | 1% |
Chris Dodd | * | * |
Mike Gravel | * | n.a. |
Other | 1% | * |
None of these | 2% | 2% |
Would not vote | * | 1% |
No opinion | 3% | 4% |
Source: TNS / Washington Post / ABC News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 1,000 American adults, conducted from Jan. 16 to Jan. 19, 2007. Margin of error is 3 per cent.
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